Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi has died, ending weeks of intense speculation over his condition and throwing the country’s leadership into the next phase of an uncertain transition. A tense atmosphere in the country, especially in the capital, Addis Ababa, has been heightened, although stability has held throughout the period of Meles’s absence from office since late June.
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It will be difficult for the ruling party – the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF), which is dominated by the Meles’s Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) – to replace Meles. Developments in coming weeks in Ethiopia have the potential to affect the Horn of Africa’s political, economic and security landscape for years to come.
My short comment piece for Chatham House: